Publications & Press

How to Cite

To cite, please include the following: The Program on Health Workforce Research and Policy at the Cecil G Sheps Center. “NC Nursecast: A Supply and Demand Model for Nurses in North Carolina.” November 1, 2021.


“Tool developed by Carolina researchers forecasts the future supply and demand of nurses.” UNC Communications. November 17, 2021.

“NC faces shortage of up to 21,000 nurses in coming decade.” WUNC. November 10, 2021

“UNC Report: Nursing Shortage Projected Even Before Pandemic Stressors.” November 9, 2021.

“Population growth fuels hospital competition across NC’s Triangle region.” WUNC. November 9, 2021.

“Before the pandemic, NC faced nursing shortage.” UNC Communications. November 8, 2021.

“NC Nursing Shortage Likely to Worsen; Lack of Nursing Instructors Partly to Blame.” WCCB Charlotte, the CW. November 4, 2021.

“Se avecina una escasez de enfermeras en Carolina de Norte mucho peor en los proximos 12 anos.” La Noticia. November 3, 2021.

“North Carolina Nurse Shortage.” WCNC. November 3, 2021.

“NC’s nursing shortage could exceed 20,000 in next 12 years.” WBTV – Charlotte. November, 3, 2021.

  • Same story on WITN – Greenville

WUNC Morning Edition, audio, November 1, 2021.

“NC’s nursing shortage could exceed 20,000 in next 12 years.” CBS 17. November 1, 2021

“UNC model predicts North Carolina will face extreme nursing shortage.” Triangle Business Journal. November 1, 2021

“Choice of jobs: As COVID takes a toll on nurses, some turn to lucrative travel jobs.” News & Observer, October 10, 2021.

“NC nursing students learn to care for others, themselves as worker shortage, COVID continues”. News & Observer, October 10, 2021

“NC is paying for neglecting nurses and teachers. It’s about to get worse”. News & Observer Editorial Board. September 3, 2021.

“New ‘must read’ series highlight’s NC’s growing crisis in nursing”. NC Policy Watch. August 26, 2021.

“Help Wanted: Nurses.” Higher Ed Works. July 14, 2021. Article and video.

“The Nursing Faculty Bottleneck.” Higher Ed Works. July 21, 2021. Article and video.

“Burnout is serious.” Higher Ed Works. July 28,2021. Article and video.

“Nurses for rural North Carolina.” Higher Ed Works. August 4, 2021. Article and video.

“Nursing: A shifting landscape.” Higher Ed Works. August 11, 2021. Article and video.

“Nurses: Can North Carolina meet the demand?” Higher Ed Works. August 25, 2021. Article and video.

COVID-19 pandemic highlights gaps in health care staffing across NC. ABC 11 News. December 2, 2020

“A ’new norm’ after the coronavirus pandemic.” NC Health News, April 12, 2020

“On National Nurses’ Day, These Critical Health Care Workers Are More in the Spotlight”. NC Health News, May 7 2020.

Lyda-McDonald, B. “The oncoming Nurse Workforce Shortage in NC.” NCIOM Blog. November 9, 2021.

Patel E. “Comparing Hospital Nurse Settings from the 2018 NSSRN vs. 2008-2013 North Carolina Licensure Data”. Policy Brief. June 25, 2020.

Fraher E, Tran A, Spero J, Wilson H. North Carolina’s Supply of Critical Care Nurses are Crucial to the State’s COVID-19 Response". Blog. April 1, 2020.


Nikpour J, Fraher E. Maldistribution of the Population Health Nursing Workforce in NC: Implications for the Medicaid Programs Plan to Rollout Healthy Pilots to Address the Social Determinants of Health. American Public Health Association’s Public Health Workforce & Students theme. October 27, 2021.

Patel E, Jones C. Nursing Employment Settings in Hospitals: A Comparison of NSSRN and North Carolina RN Licensure Data. Health Workforce Technical Assistance Center. February 18, 2021.

Fraher E, Knapton A, Galloway E, Patel E. The Nursing Workforce in North Carolina. AHEC Nurse Council Meeting. November 19, 2020.

Fraher E. The Power of Data to Illuminate the Challenges and Opportunities Facing the Nursing Workforce. Keynote presentation delivered at the National Forum of State Nursing Workforce Centers. June 11, 2020.

Patel E, Fraher E. The Shift in Nursing Employment from Acute to Ambulatory Settings: Implications for Education, Regulation and Practice. Poster presentation, June 2020. AcademyHealth Annual Research Meeting. Boston, MA.

Nikpour J, Fraher E. Maldistribution of the Population Health Nursing Workforce in North Carolina. Presentation to the Academy Health Interdisciplinary Research Group on Nursing Issues (IRGNI). July 22, 2020.

Academic student theses

Hannah Crook MSPH, Demographic and Educational Attributes that Affect the Likelihood of a Registered Nurse Practicing in a Rural/Underserved North Carolina County, May 2019.

Vicki Quintana MSPH The Licensed Practical Nursing Workforce in North Carolina, May 2020.



Supply & Demand

Want to learn about the future supply and demand of our state's licensed practical nurses and registered nurses across settings and geographic regions?

See projections

Graduate Diffusion

Want to see how different North Carolina nursing programs impact the distribution of health professionals in their area and across the state?

Examine graduate diffusion

Key Findings

What are the main takeaways from the nursecast projections? In what regions and settings will nurses be in shortage?

Read key findings

Who are we?

This project is brought to you by The Cecil G. Sheps Center For Health Services Research at the University of North Carolina in partnership with the North Carolina Board of Nursing.